NFL Odds and Notes

Oct 28, 2022, 12:37 PM

1) This is the largest underdog that Aaron Rodgers has been in his career.

2) Tom Brady (last night) was a home underdog in Tampa for the first time.

3) Jaguars have now lost their last five games outright as the favorite. They are favored again this week.

4) The Giants are 5-0 outright this season as an underdog. They are an underdog again this week.

5) TB had lost two games in a row as a double-digit favorite. And the line against Carolina closed at TB -13.5, so it was the biggest upset this season.

6) Colts are 0-7 against the spread in the first half.

7) Now that the Falcons didn’t cover, there are no more undefeated teams against the spread.

8) The biggest line movements thus far since opening the Week 8 lines:

a. Carolina/Atlanta went from Atlanta -6.5 to -4, a 2.5-point swing.

b. Denver/Jax went from Jax -4 to -2, a 2-point swing.

c. Chicago/Dallas went from Dallas 10.5 to -9, a 1.5-point swing.

d. Arizona/Minnesota went from -5 to -3.5, a 1.5-point swing.

9) The biggest total movements thus far since opening the Week 8 totals:

a. NYG/Seattle went from 47.5 to 44.5, a 3-point swing.

b. LV/NO went from 47.5 to 50 a 2.5-point swing.

c. Miami/Detroit went from 49.5 to 51.5, a 2.5-point swing.

10) The three most wagered favorites are:

a. SF (-1) at LAR: 84% are on SF

b. Tennessee (-2.5) at Houston: 82% are on Tennessee

c. LV (-1) at New Orleans: 71% are on LV

11) The three most wagered underdogs are:

a. Washington (+3) at Indianapolis 70% are on Washington

b. Arizona (+3.5) at Minnesota: 66% are on Arizona

c. Green Bay (+11) at Buffalo: 64% are on Green Bay

12) The two most wagered overs are:

a. LV at New Orleans: 82% are on over 50 points

b. Arizona at Minnesota: 78% are on over 49 points

13) The two most wagered unders are:

a. Chicago at Dallas: 71% are on under 42.5 points

b. Denver at Jacksonville: 68% are on under 39.5 points

College Football Odds and Notes:

1) The line movements in college football are much more volatile than the NFL.

2) Memphis overs are 7-1 this season.

3) The biggest line movements thus far since opening the Week 9 lines:

a. Georgia Tech/FSU went from FSU -20 to -24, a four-point swing

b. La Tech/FIU went from La Tech -9 to -6, a three-point swing.

4) The three most wagered favorites are all road favorites:

a. Wake Forest (-3.5) at Louisville: 71% are on Wake Forest

b. Ohio State (-14.5) at Penn State: 68% are on Ohio State

c. TCU (-7.5) at West Virginia: 67% are on TCU

5) The three most wagered underdogs are:

a. Michigan State (+23) at Michigan: 74% are on Michigan State

b. Oklahoma State (+1.5) at Kansas State: 73% are on Oklahoma State

c. Florida (+22.5) at Georgia: 72% are on Florida

6) The two most wagered overs are:

a. Pittsburgh at North Carolina: 78% are on over 66 points

b. Florida at Georgia: 69% are on over 56.5 points

7) The two most wagered unders are:

a. USC at Arizona: 80% are on under 77 points

b. Ole Miss at Texas A&M: 78% are on under 55 points

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