NFL Odds and Notes

Sep 30, 2022, 1:11 PM

NFL Odds and Notes:

1) The Chiefs had been favored in 26 straight games. They opened as a 2.5-point favorite at TB, but are now a pick’em.

2) 64% of NFL games this season have gone under the total.

3) Average scoring per game through three weeks is the lowest since 2010

4) Three teams are 3-0 thus far against the spread: Falcons, and Lions. The Dolphins were 3-0 too.

5) Two Teams are 0-3 thus far against the spread: Raiders and Saints

6) The biggest line movements thus far since opening the Week 4 lines:

a. Seattle/Detroit went from Detroit -6.5 to -4, a 2.5-point swing.

b. KC/TB went from KC -2.5 to a pick’em, a 2.5-point swing.

c. Cleveland/Atlanta went from Cleveland -3 to -1, a two-point swing.

d. Arizona/Carolina went from Arizona +1 to -1, a two-point swing and a new favorite.

7) The biggest total movements thus far since opening the Week 4 totals:

a. LAR/SF went from 47 to 42.5, a 4.5-point swing.

b. Buffalo/Baltimore went from 54.5 to 51, a 3.5-point swing.

c. Jax/Philly went from 47.5 to 45.5, a two-point swing.

8) The three most wagered favorites are:

a. Minnesota (-3) at New Orleans: 87% are on Minnesota

b. Arizona (-1) at Carolina: 78% are on Arizona

c. KC (pk) at TB (pk): 70% are on Kansas City

9) The three most wagered underdogs are:

a. Tennessee at Indianapolis (-3.5): 69% are on Tennessee

b. LAR at SF (-1): 64% are on the Los Angeles Rams

c. Jacksonville at Philadelphia (-6.5): 61% are on Jacksonville

10) The two most wagered overs are:

a. Cleveland at Atlanta: 73% are on over 47.5 points

b. Jacksonville at Philadelphia: 68% are on over 45.5 points

11) The two most wagered unders are:

a. Denver at Las Vegas: 75% are on under 45.5 points

b. KC at TB: 61% are on under 45.5 points

College Football Odds and Notes:

1) The line movements in college football are much more volatile than the NFL.

2) The biggest line movements thus far since opening the Week 5 lines:

a. Ohio/Kent State went from Kent State -6.5 to -11.5, a five-point swing.

b. San Jose State/Wyoming went from Wyoming -1.5 to San Jose State a favorite of -2.5 points, a four-point swing.

c. South Alabama/UL Lafayette went from USA -5 to -8.5, a 3.5-point swing.

d. ASU/USC went from USC -22 to -25.5, a 3.5-point swing.

3) The three most wagered favorites are all road favorites:

a. LSU (-8) at Auburn: 71% are on LSU

b. Oklahoma (-5) at TCU: 67% are on Oklahoma

c. Minnesota (-12) at Purdue: 66% are on Minnesota

4) The three most wagered underdogs are:

a. Kentucky (+7) at Mississippi: 76% are on Kentucky

b. Alabama (-17.5) at Arkansas: 73% are on Arkansas

c. Wake Forest (+6.5) at Florida: 69% are on Wake Forest

5) The two most wagered overs are:

a. NC State at Clemson: 73% are on over 44 points

b. Wake Forest at Florida: 71% are on over 64.5 points

6) The two most wagered unders are:

a. Michigan at Iowa: 74% are on under 42.5 points

b. Navy at Air Force: 68% are on under 38.5 points

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